St Totteringham's Day
   


A St Totteringham's Day Diary.

More Info

  • List of every St Totteringham's since the first on 22nd April 1911.
  • Old home page, including detail on 2003/4 to 2010/11
  • The story of St T's day and some acknowledgements
  • Some analysis of the history of St Totteringham's
  • home page

    Recent Seasons

  • 2017/8
  • 2016/7
  • 2015/6
  • 2014/5
  • 2013/4
  • 2012/3
  • 2011/2
  • 2010/11
  • 2009/10
  • 2008/9
  • 2007/8
  • 2006/7
  • 2005/6
  • 2004/5
  • 2003/4

    Links
    I should probably add some.

    An RSS feed...
    This is an RSS feed of changes to this page so you can watch it in your favourite blog reader.

    The blame
    Mostly written by Mike Pitt. You can contact me by email on mike-stt@einval.com. Nice comments only please. I'm also @sttottsday on twitter.
    Original material © Mike Pitt 2004, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017


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    St Totteringham's Day is the day when Arsenal fans celebrate the fact that Tottenham can no longer catch Arsenal in the League. It is a movable feast, but usually falls in March, April or May. It is the day to collect on bets made by over-optimistic Spurs fans in the close season who think that "this is the year".

    See the links on the left for more information.

    Sat, 25 Apr 2015

    Why four points isn't enough!

    A lot of people on Twitter tweeting that we only need four points. Presumably because at that point we will have matched the maximum total Spurs can get.

    I hope it is obvious why this isn't enough for St Totteringham, but just in case it isn't.

    Suppose Spurs win all the remaining matches 3-0. We get a 1-0 win and a draw in the next two games then lose the remaining games 4-0.

    I'll be the first to say: That is never going to happen but it isn't impossible. And St T's is about what is possible, not what is likely.

    What would happen? Firstly Spurs and Arsenal end on 70 points. So it comes down to goal difference.

    Now we start with a huge advantage here +31 against Spurs +6.

    But the four wins for Spurs but them up to +18.

    Our win takes us to +32, but then the four defeats knock off 16. Spurs would pinch it on goal difference.

    We can gloat after four points because it is ridiculously unlikely to not be enough, but it wouldn't be St Totteringhams until it was certain. We can gloat about the fact we are likely to finish above Spurs already! St Totteringhams however needs five points.

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    When the Saints nearly go marching in...

    The Saints help a little but losing two leads against Spurs is a bit disappointing. Still it does move us on. The important bit is now:
    GamesPointsGDPoints behind(games left)(max points)
    Arsenal3266+31
    Spurs3458+684(70)

    That means five more needed to get St Ts. The Earliest possible date is May 3rd: needing Arsenal beating Chelsea and City getting a point or more at White Hart Lane. Possible but unlikely.

    The ever shortening run-in suggests to me that we won't need to wait until after May 11. I can't see us not getting four points off Hull and Swansea, and can easily see Spurs dropping points against Man City or the Rugby Club.
    DateArsenalSpurs
    Sun Apr 26Chelsea (h)
    Sun May 3 Manchester City (h)
    Mon May 4Hull City (a)
    Sat May 9 Stoke City (a)
    Mon May 11Swansea (h)
    Sat May 16 Hull City (h)
    Sun May 17Manchester Utd (a)
    Wed May 20Sunderland (h)
    Sun May 24West Bromwich Albion (h) Everton (a)

    Hopefully at 6pm tomorrow I'll have a more optimistic update! We can beat Chelsea.

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