A St Totteringham's Day Diary.
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Mostly written by Mike Pitt. You can contact me by email on mike-stt@einval.com. Nice
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St Totteringham's Day was the day when Arsenal fans celebrate the fact that Tottenham can no longer catch Arsenal in the League. It is a movable feast, but usually falls in March, April or May. It was the day to collect on bets made by over-optimistic Spurs fans in the close season who think that "this is the year".
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Thu, 09 Apr 2015
Nine point gap with seven to go...
It has reached that time when it is worth taking a quick look ahead to
see when St Totteringham's might fall this year.
The situation is...
| Games | Points | GD | Points behind | (games left) | (max points) | |
| Arsenal | 31 | 63 | +30 | |||
| Spurs | 31 | 54 | +5 | 9 | 7 | (75) |
This means Arsenal need 13 points to finish above Spurs: 4 wins and a draw out of the last seven games. Alternatively Spurs need to drop points which might speed things up.
| Date | Arsenal | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Apr 11 | Burnley (a) | Aston Villa (h) |
| Sun Apr 18 | FA Cup Semi-Final | |
| Sun Apr 19 | Newcastle Utd (a) | |
| Sat Apr 25 | Southampton (a) | |
| Sun Apr 26 | Chelsea (h) | |
| Sat May 2 | Hull City(a) | Manchester City (h) |
| Sat May 9 | Swansea (h) | Stoke City (a) |
| Sat May 16 | Manchester Utd (a) | Hull City (h) |
| Wed 20 May | Sunderland (h) | |
| Sun May 24 | West Bromwich Albion (h) | Everton (a) |
A massively optimistic look at the fixtures could see St Totteringham's fall on April 26: Arsenal beat Burnley, while Spurs lose three in a row would leave us needing just a point from Chelsea.
More realistic optimism would say Spurs beat Villa or get points against Newcastle. In that case we'd need to go into May.
Being realistic: I can't see Arsenal not winning four of the games we have: Burnley, Hull, Swansea, Sunderland and WBA all look winnable. The fact we have one slip allowed helps. Chelsea and Manchester Utd are less likely wins: but it isn't impossible to win one or both.
In addition Spurs face Man City in a match that looks tough. Southampton looks a key match in the chase for Europa league football. They've also looked brittle in recent weeks: Newcastle and Villa will hope to get something.
So in summary I think we can start to be confident of making it twenty years in a row, but we will probably be looking at a May St Totteringham this year.
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